USD/JPY (USD/JPY), an increase is expected as the Bank of Japan may reduce bond purchases and lay the groundwork for future rate hikes. Technical indicators show an ongoing uptrend with resistance around 157.8 to 160.
A Rat Race to the bottom in the rescue of the Dollar
Analysis for the week ahead: Markets remain worried by global recession fears
EUR/USD continues to tumble, with no sign yet of a rally or even a near-term bounce.. The pair has dropped already beneath the support line of a downward-sloping channel in place since late May this year to its lowest level since July 2020 and there is now little support between here and 1.1170. From a fundamental perspective, the Euro is suffering from a continued insistence by the European Central Bank that much higher Eurozone interest rates are not needed.
BRITISH POUND, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP - TALKING POINTS
EUR/USD Price, Chart, and Analysis
Euro rates have seen volatility around the September ECB meeting as outgoing President Draghi's alter ego “Super Mario” made an appearance.
The three-month EURGBP rally continues unabated despite the EUR struggling against other currencies. GBP remains weak but the pair are currently flashing an overbought warning.
The Euro continues its battle with the US dollar and may push higher if the 200-day moving average finally gives way.
EURUSD price action remains under the influence of the US dollar and this is likely to increase with an EU data void through the rest of the week.
Currency markets are showing all the telltale signs of risk aversion despite exuberance on Wall Street even as S&P 500 technical positioning flashes warning signs.
The Euro will be watching the release of several Italian leading indicators as the country wrestles with a technical recession and prepares for political obstructions ahead.
EURUSD touches its highest level in nearly three-weeks as the US dollar turns lower, but trading ranges remain prohibitively tight.
The anti-risk Japanese Yen may return to the offensive as US banks JPMorgan and Wells Fargo report first-quarter results, highlighting a slowdown in global growth.
The anti-risk Japanese Yen and US Dollar may rise as a dovish tone in the ECB policy announcement and March Fed meeting minutes undermine market sentiment.
The Euro looks oversold by one closely flowed indicator but that doesnt mean it should be bought. Any rally should be looked at as a potential short set-up.
Business confidence in Germany has ‘clearly deteriorated’ according to the latest ifo Export Expectations, weighing further on an already weak Euro.
The US dollar is on the backfoot after last night‘s dovish FOMC pulled the rug from under the greenback. Coming up, the Bank of England’s latest policy decision will be confined by ongoing Brexit chaos.
Sterling remains underpinned despite the ongoing Brexit shambles. The EURGBP chart remains pointed to the downside and further falls are likely.
Sterling traders may have to endure a few more weeks of Brexit-related uncertainty as the EU-UK divorce continues to unravel. EUR/USD will be watching local