KVB Market Analysis | 30 August: JPY Strengthens Against USD Amid Strong Q2 GDP and BoJ Rate Hike Speculation
The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, boosted by stronger-than-expected Q2 GDP growth in Japan, raising hopes for a BoJ rate hike. Despite this, the USD/JPY pair found support from higher US Treasury yields, though gains may be capped by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
Today's Analysis: XAU/USD Prices Surge Above $2,400 Amid U.S. Economic Data and India's Tax Cut
Gold prices are set to rise, driven by a busy U.S. economic schedule and interest rate cut expectations. Rebounding above $2,400 due to India's import tax cut, gold is poised for further gains. Bullish RSI indicates strong momentum, with key resistance at $2,412 and $2,450, and an all-time high of $2,483 in sight. Support levels are at $2,384 and the 50-day SMA at $2,359.
Today's analysis: XAU/USD Drops as U.S. Bond Yields Rise and Hawkish Fed Comments Emerge
U.S. bond yields rose, and the dollar recovered after hawkish Fed comments, causing gold prices to fall from $2,334. The Fed expects high inflation to persist, delaying rate cuts. Traders await the PCE Price Index. Gold's next support is $2,300, with potential declines to $2,277 and $2,222. Recovery to $2,350 targets resistance at $2,387 and $2,400, but the bearish trend holds below $2,340.10, aiming for $2,272.06.
Today's analysis: XAUUSD Likely to Decline Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation
XAU/USD is forecasted to decline within a familiar range amid expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts in September and December, influenced by weak U.S. retail sales and lower Treasury yields. Resistance is at $2,344-$2,345 (50-day SMA), with potential targets at $2,360-$2,400. Support levels include $2,300, $2,285, and possibly $2,254-$2,253 if downtrend persists. Traders await further Fed signals cautiously.
【MACRO Alert】Long weekend air travel in the United States is becoming a new trend! Meanwhile, the US dollar recently turned net short for the first time!
According to survey data, this year, many American travelers are opting for air travel over traditional road trips during the Memorial Day long weekend, marking an upward trend! On the other hand, bullish sentiment on the US dollar is beginning to retreat, turning net short for the first time in six weeks!